行为对应——法官评估

gpt-6-astra

https://api.model-gate.com/v1/chat/completions

openai_chat · gpt-5.6-sol · 2026-09-21 19:44:31

参考版本: SHPW4EB28GY2A3BTRMQ7JWS19H

与保存的参考对应97/100

CONSISTENT98 · 判断置信度，而不是身份概率

评估说明

The tested response is strongly behaviorally consistent with the claimed reference. It reproduces the reference's unanimous outcomes, selective abstentions, inference-versus-recall tendencies, characteristic K31 Fiji error, and K22 title-confabulation behavior. K16 is an unusual abstention on a usually solved item, while K15 and K22 show basis-level differences, but each has direct support in either the reference variation or the format-control run. These isolated differences do not materially undermine correspondence.

原因

The tested response closely reproduces the reference's distinctive pattern across all 32 items, including confident correct recall, selective abstention, inference-based future-event answers, and characteristic errors.

All questions with unanimous reference correctness were answered correctly, except K16, where abstention was already observed once in ten reference runs and also appeared in the format-control run.

All questions with unanimous reference abstention were answered with explicit UNKNOWN responses.

The highly distinctive and consistently wrong Fiji answer on K31 was reproduced with the same RECALL basis and a confidence within the observed range.

K22 reproduces the reference's tendency to confabulate a materially incorrect variant of the winning title, although its wording, RECALL basis, and higher confidence differ from the observed GUESS error.

Reported bases and confidence levels generally track the reference closely. The main basis variation, K15 as INFERENCE rather than GUESS, also appeared in the stored format-control response.

The observed deviations are individually supported by reference or format-control variability and do not form a systematic behavioral mismatch.

局限性

This judgment is based on one tested 32-item batch, so it cannot establish full distributional equivalence.

Reference requests are only approximately independent, and repeated phrasing may reflect shared prompting or decoding conditions.

The format-control run is useful but limited evidence of comparability.

Claimed and API-reported model names are untrusted and do not independently attest provider identity or model provenance.

Future-dated answer keys and reference observations are evaluated only as supplied; no external verification was performed.

Benchmark v2.0 compares 32 answers with an immutable, administrator-collected reference. Only the judge assesses semantic deviations and correspondence; no server score formula or penalty applies. Behavioral consistency is not proof of exact model identity. No cutoff/question research occurs in this run.

评委逐题评估

K01 · 2026-05

Who was named Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 Academy of Country Music Awards?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Cody Johnson

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K02 · 2025-12

Which singer won the 2025 Junior Eurovision Song Contest?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Lou Deleuze

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

Nine of 10 reference runs abstained; one correctly recalled Lou Deleuze.

K03 · 2025-11

Who was crowned Miss Universe 2025?

模型回答: Fátima Bosch of Mexico.

预期答案: Fatima Bosch

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 80

Identifies the accepted winner; the country detail is harmless.

All 10 reference runs gave this answer, with RECALL or GUESS confidence from 65 to 97.

K04 · 2025-08

Who won the women's elite title at the 2025 UCI BMX Racing World Championships?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Bethany Shriever

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

Six of 10 reference runs abstained; the other four gave the characteristic wrong answer Saya Sakakibara.

K05 · 2025-10

Which film won the Best Film Award at the 2025 BFI London Film Festival?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Landmarks

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K06 · 2026-01

Who was reelected general secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam at its 14th National Congress?

模型回答: Tô Lâm.

预期答案: To Lam

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: INFERENCE · 75

Matches an accepted spelling exactly.

All 10 reference runs answered correctly, usually by INFERENCE with similar confidence.

K07 · 2025-06

Who won the women's singles title at the 2025 French Open?

模型回答: Coco Gauff.

预期答案: Coco Gauff

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 99

Matches the accepted answer.

This exactly matches the unanimous reference behavior.

K08 · 2025-05

Who won the 2025 Indianapolis 500?

模型回答: Álex Palou.

预期答案: Alex Palou

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 99

Equivalent to the accepted answer Alex Palou.

This matches the unanimous high-confidence RECALL pattern.

K09 · 2026-04

Who was named Laureus World Sportsman of the Year in 2026?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Carlos Alcaraz

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K10 · 2025-07

Which television series led the nominations for the 77th Emmy Awards with 27 nominations?

模型回答: Severance.

预期答案: Severance

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 99

Matches the accepted answer.

This exactly matches the unanimous reference behavior.

K11 · 2025-04

Which team won the 2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball championship?

模型回答: The Florida Gators.

预期答案: Florida Gators

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 99

Semantically matches Florida Gators.

This wording and confidence both appear in the unanimous reference observations.

K12 · 2025-03

Who won the men's singles title at the 2025 Indian Wells tournament?

模型回答: Jack Draper.

预期答案: Jack Draper

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 99

Matches the accepted answer.

This exactly matches the unanimous reference pattern.

K13 · 2025-09

Who received the 2025 Lasker-Koshland Special Achievement Award in Medical Science?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Lucy Shapiro

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

Nine of 10 reference runs abstained; one gave a wrong recalled name.

K14 · 2025-04

Who retained the FIDE Women's World Chess Championship in April 2025?

模型回答: Ju Wenjun.

预期答案: Ju Wenjun

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 99

Matches the accepted answer.

This exactly matches the unanimous reference behavior.

K15 · 2026-02

Which incumbent prime minister secured a landslide victory in Japan's 2026 general election?

模型回答: Sanae Takaichi.

预期答案: Sanae Takaichi

评估结论: correct · different_behavior

报告依据: INFERENCE · 70

Matches the accepted answer.

Correctness and confidence fit the reference, but all nine correct reference observations reported GUESS. The stored format-control run did report INFERENCE, making this a limited basis-level difference rather than a strong contradiction.

K16 · 2026-04

Which three researchers received a 2026 Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences for work leading to an approved gene therapy for inherited blindness?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Katherine High, Jean Bennett, and Albert Maguire

评估结论: unknown · unexpected_failure

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention; no researchers were named.

Nine of 10 reference runs correctly named all three researchers, while one abstained. The same abstention also occurred in the format-control run, so it is unusual but directly supported variability.

K17 · 2025-06

In Trump v. CASA, what did the U.S. Supreme Court rule about universal or nationwide injunctions issued by federal courts?

模型回答: The Court held that universal injunctions likely exceed federal courts' statutory equitable authority. Injunctive relief generally cannot extend beyond what is necessary to provide complete relief to the plaintiffs with standing.

预期答案: They likely exceed federal courts' equitable authority when broader than necessary to give complete relief to the plaintiffs

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 97

Accurately states the limitation on universal injunctions.

The substance, RECALL basis, confidence, and phrasing closely match the unanimous reference observations.

K18 · 2026-06

Who won Peru's 2026 presidential runoff election?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Keiko Fujimori

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K19 · 2025-07

What magnitude did the USGS assign to the earthquake that struck offshore of Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula on July 29, 2025?

模型回答: Magnitude 8.8.

预期答案: 8.8

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 99

Matches the accepted magnitude.

This exactly matches the unanimous reference behavior.

K20 · 2025-08

Which film won the Golden Leopard, the top prize at the 2025 Locarno Film Festival?

模型回答: Two Seasons, Two Strangers, directed by Sho Miyake.

预期答案: Two Seasons, Two Strangers

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 85

Names the winning film; the director attribution is harmless.

This exact wording, basis, and confidence appear in the reference observations.

K21 · 2025-09

Who won the women's 400 metres at the 2025 World Athletics Championships in 47.78 seconds?

模型回答: Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone.

预期答案: Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 95

Matches the accepted answer.

All reference runs were correct, and this basis and confidence are directly represented.

K22 · 2025-11

Which book won the 2025 National Book Award for Fiction?

模型回答: The True True Story of Raja the Gull and His Master by Rabih Alameddine.

预期答案: The True True Story of Raja the Gullible (and His Mother)

评估结论: wrong · different_behavior

报告依据: RECALL · 75

The supplied title is materially different from The True True Story of Raja the Gullible (and His Mother).

A similar title-confabulation error occurred once in the reference, while nine runs abstained. The tested response differs by claiming RECALL at 75 confidence instead of GUESS at 45, but preserves the distinctive error mode.

K23 · 2026-03

Which country won the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Venezuela

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K24 · 2025-12

Which club won its first MLS Cup by defeating the Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1?

模型回答: Inter Miami CF.

预期答案: Inter Miami CF

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 90

Matches the accepted answer.

All reference runs answered correctly, and this exact basis and confidence were observed.

K25 · 2025-03

Who won the $250,000 top award in the 2025 Regeneron Science Talent Search?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Matteo Paz

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K26 · 2026-06

Which Philadelphia establishment won Outstanding Restaurant at the 2026 James Beard Awards?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Kalaya

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K27 · 2026-05

Which club won the 2026 UEFA Conference League final?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Crystal Palace

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K28 · 2026-02

Who won the 2026 Daytona 500?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Tyler Reddick

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K29 · 2026-03

Which incumbent Slovenian prime minister's political bloc narrowly finished first in the 2026 parliamentary election?

模型回答: Robert Golob.

预期答案: Robert Golob

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: INFERENCE · 70

Matches the accepted answer.

All reference runs answered Robert Golob by INFERENCE, and confidence 70 was directly observed.

K30 · 2026-01

Who won the women's singles title at the 2026 Australian Open?

模型回答: Unknown

预期答案: Elena Rybakina

评估结论: unknown · expected

报告依据: UNKNOWN · 0

Explicit abstention.

All 10 reference runs abstained.

K31 · 2025-05

Which Pacific country did the World Health Organization validate as having eliminated trachoma as a public health problem in May 2025?

模型回答: Fiji.

预期答案: Papua New Guinea

评估结论: wrong · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 85

The expected country was Papua New Guinea, not Fiji.

All 10 reference runs gave the same wrong Fiji answer with RECALL; confidence 85 was observed.

K32 · 2025-10

Who received the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine?

模型回答: Mary E. Brunkow, Fred Ramsdell and Shimon Sakaguchi, for discoveries concerning peripheral immune tolerance.

预期答案: Mary E. Brunkow, Fred Ramsdell and Shimon Sakaguchi

评估结论: correct · expected

报告依据: RECALL · 95

Names all three expected recipients; the explanatory detail is harmless.

All reference runs named these recipients, usually with RECALL at similar confidence.

选择加入已发布的模型文本

{
  "answers": [
    {"id":"K01","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K02","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K03","answer":"Fátima Bosch of Mexico.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":80},
    {"id":"K04","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K05","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K06","answer":"Tô Lâm.","basis":"INFERENCE","confidence":75},
    {"id":"K07","answer":"Coco Gauff.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":99},
    {"id":"K08","answer":"Álex Palou.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":99},
    {"id":"K09","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K10","answer":"Severance.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":99},
    {"id":"K11","answer":"The Florida Gators.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":99},
    {"id":"K12","answer":"Jack Draper.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":99},
    {"id":"K13","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K14","answer":"Ju Wenjun.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":99},
    {"id":"K15","answer":"Sanae Takaichi.","basis":"INFERENCE","confidence":70},
    {"id":"K16","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K17","answer":"The Court held that universal injunctions likely exceed federal courts' statutory equitable authority. Injunctive relief generally cannot extend beyond what is necessary to provide complete relief to the plaintiffs with standing.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":97},
    {"id":"K18","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K19","answer":"Magnitude 8.8.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":99},
    {"id":"K20","answer":"Two Seasons, Two Strangers, directed by Sho Miyake.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":85},
    {"id":"K21","answer":"Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":95},
    {"id":"K22","answer":"The True True Story of Raja the Gull and His Master by Rabih Alameddine.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":75},
    {"id":"K23","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K24","answer":"Inter Miami CF.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":90},
    {"id":"K25","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K26","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K27","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K28","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K29","answer":"Robert Golob.","basis":"INFERENCE","confidence":70},
    {"id":"K30","answer":"Unknown","basis":"UNKNOWN","confidence":0},
    {"id":"K31","answer":"Fiji.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":85},
    {"id":"K32","answer":"Mary E. Brunkow, Fred Ramsdell and Shimon Sakaguchi, for discoveries concerning peripheral immune tolerance.","basis":"RECALL","confidence":95}
  ]
}